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Viennese voters turn their backs on populist Freedom party

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Viennese voters deserted the rightwing populist Freedom party and its former leader on Sunday, delivering a resounding victory for centrist politics in the Austrian city’s important municipal elections. 

Vienna’s elections are watched as a bellwether for Austrian politics, thanks both to the city’s size relative to Austria’s overall population — it is home to 1.9m of the country’s 8.8m citizens — and the capital’s status as the bastion of Austria’s once dominant Social Democratic party. 

The regional election was the first ballot box test for the new national government of conservative Austrian chancellor Sebastian Kurz and his handling of the Covid pandemic. Mr Kurz formed a groundbreaking coalition with Austria’s Green party in January after his coalition with the far-right Freedom party disintegrated in scandal in May last year. 

Mr Kurz’s Austrian People’s party bounced back from its lowest ever share of the vote in Vienna in 2015, gaining 18.7 per cent, doubling from 9.4 per cent previously. The election’s victor, however — as widely predicted — was the socialist SPÖ, whose share of the vote rose to 41.7 per cent, from 39.6 five years ago, meaning Michael Ludwig will be comfortably returned to the powerful Vienna mayoralty. Mr Ludwig must negotiate a coalition with the Greens or liberal Neos — also both winners on Sunday — to form a city government. 

The results are not final: this year a far larger than normal number of postal votes — about 380,000 — will not be counted until Monday. The current results are based on projections by the SORA institute, a pollster, which said they had a 2 per cent margin of error. 

People’s party candidate Gernot Blümel — who is also Austria’s finance minister — said there was “nothing but joy” at the result. “The ÖVP is back in Vienna,” he said.

Chancellor Sebastian Kurz, of the Austrian People’s Party, declared the result a vote of confidence in the government’s policies
Chancellor Sebastian Kurz, of the Austrian People’s Party, declared the result a vote of confidence in the government’s policies © LUKAS BARTH-TUTTAS/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

Mr Kurz, who counts Mr Blümel as one of his closest allies, and was featured prominently across the campaign, declared the result a huge vote of confidence in the policies of his government. 

“This result makes it the eighth state election success for us in a row, and is a sign that the turquoise path continues to gain approval,” Mr Kurz wrote in a tweet on Sunday night — referring to the rebranded colour scheme he gave the People’s party when he took over at the age of 30 in May 2017.

While the People’s party swept up votes from the right — not least by cannibalising many of their hardline positions on immigration and social welfare — analysts said its victory was as much down to the failures of its opponents as its own successes — recent weeks saw Mr Blümel and his campaign team make several bad errors. 

“Four winners, two losers” declared the Austrian state broadcaster of the results on Sunday evening: Freedom party and Team HC Strache — a schismatic grouping led by the Freedom party’s disgraced former leader — suffered badly at the polls. 

Since it left national government last year, the Freedom party has been racked by internal division and growing apathy from its former support base.

Vienna was formerly a stronghold for the party, which had made deep inroads among the city’s large formerly left-leaning working class.

The Freedom party’s share of the vote fell from 30.8 per cent to just 7.5 per cent — relegating it from the city’s second largest party, with a shot at the mayoralty, to the fifth largest, with severe consequences for its national credibility.

Meanwhile, Heinz-Christian Strache, the party’s former leader, who broke with the party earlier this year, polled just 3.6 per cent with his “Team HC” grouping — below the 5 per cent threshold required to take up any seats in the Vienna government. 

For Mr Strache, who was the vice-chancellor of Austria in Mr Kurz’s first government before a political graft scandal engulfed him, the result may mark the end of his political career. 

“It is hard to see how he can could come back into politics from [this result],” said Thomas Hofer, a prominent Austrian political analyst. “He had a very bad campaign.” 

The populist right in general, said Mr Hofer, had been completely wrong footed by the coronavirus crisis — which forced candidates from across the political spectrum to abandon campaigns based on city finances, social care and immigration. 

“The corona crisis meant this campaign was not about hospitals, budgetary mismanagement, or any of the topics it could have been. The crisis made everything new.” 

The election was about “solidarity” said Mr Hofer.

The Freedom party and Mr Strache had both labelled the pandemic “corona madness” and called for an end to restrictions on public life.

Mr Hofer nevertheless added that the result did not mean the Freedom party — one of Europe’s oldest and best established rightwing populist movements, with a long record of serving in national and regional governments — was out for good: on Sunday the party’s main focus had been to stamp out the threat posed by their former leader Mr Strache, he said, which it had done. The coming months would be decisive for its future as it plotted a path back to popularity. 



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Missing Belarus activist found hanged in Kyiv park

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Belarus updates

A Belarusian opposition activist has been found hanged from a tree in a park near his home in Ukraine, a day after he was reported missing. Local police said his death could have been made to look like suicide.

Vitaly Shishov, who led the Kyiv-based organisation Belarusian House, which helps Belarusians fleeing persecution find their feet in Ukraine, had been reported missing by his partner on Monday after not returning from a run.

Shishov’s death follows weeks of increased pressure in Belarus by authorities against civil society activists and independent media as part of what the country’s authoritarian president Alexander Lukashenko has called a “mopping-up operation” of “bandits and foreign agents”.

Many Belarusians have fled the country since Lukashenko launched a brutal crackdown last summer after nationwide protests erupted following his disputed victory in presidential elections. About 35,000 people have been arrested in Belarus and more than 150,000 are thought to have crossed into neighbouring Ukraine.

Franak Viacorka, an aide to Belarusian opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya who met UK prime minister Boris Johnson on Tuesday in London, said Shishov’s death was “absolutely shocking and unexpected to all of us”.

“He [Shishov] and his friends helped people who were moving to Ukraine,” Viacorka told the Financial Times. “They were very helpful, especially for those who have just arrived and didn’t know what to do.”

Viacorka said many activists living in Ukraine, such as Shishov who fled Belarus in 2020, had “complained about possibly being followed, and receiving threats”.

Kyiv park where Vitaly Shyshov’s body was found
The Kyiv park where Vitaly Shishov’s body was found after he failed to return home following a run © Gleb Garanich/Reuters

Downing Street said that after meeting Tsikhanouskaya, Johnson condemned the Lukashenko regime’s severe human rights violations. “The UK stands in solidarity of the people of Belarus and will continue to take action to support them,” a spokesperson said.

Ukrainian police have now launched a criminal case for the suspected murder of Shishov, including the possibility of “murder disguised as suicide”.

Yuriy Shchutsko, an acquaintance and fellow Belarus refugee who found Shishov’s body, ruled out suicide, pointing out that Shishov’s nose was broken.

“I suspect this was the action of the [Belarus] KGB . . . we knew they were hunting for us,” he told Ukrainian television.

Ihor Klymenko, head of the National Police of Ukraine, subsequently said Shishov’s body had what appeared to be “torn tissue” on his nose and other wounds, but stressed it would be up to medical examiners to determine if these were caused by beatings or the result of suicide.

There was no immediate comment from Lukashenko or his administration.

Belarusian House said: “There is no doubt that this is an operation planned by the Chekists [the Belarusian KGB] to eliminate someone truly dangerous for the regime.

“Vitalik was under surveillance,” it added. “We were repeatedly warned by both local sources and our people in the Republic of Belarus about all kinds of provocations up to kidnapping and liquidation.”

Adding to the swirl of attention on Belarus this week, Tokyo Olympics sprinter Krystsina Tsimanouskaya on Monday took refuge in Poland’s embassy after alleging she had been taken to the airport against her will, having criticised her Belarusian coaches.

The athlete has said she feared punishment if she went back to Belarus but has so far declined to link her problems to the country’s divisions.

Shishov’s death comes five years after Pavel Sheremet, a prominent Belarus-born opposition figure and journalist, was killed in an improvised bomb explosion in downtown Kyiv while driving to work at a local radio station. Lukashenko has ruled Belarus since 1994.

Ukrainian authorities at first suggested Belarusian or Russian security services could have been involved in the hit, as Sheremet was close to opposition movements in Russia as well.

Instead, officials charged three Ukrainian volunteers who supported war efforts against Russia-backed separatists in eastern Ukraine — although they steadfastly denied involvement and authorities were unable to provide a motive in what has been widely described as a flimsy case.

Additional reporting by Jasmine Cameron-Chileshe in London



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EU pledges aid to Lithuania to combat illegal migration from Belarus

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EU immigration updates

In the latest sign of deteriorating relations between the EU and Belarus, Brussels has promised extra financial aid and increased diplomatic heft to help Lithuania tackle a migrant crisis that it blames on neighbouring Belarus and its dictator Alexander Lukashenko.

Lithuania detained 287 illegal migrants on Sunday, more than it did in the entirety of 2018, 2019, and 2020 combined, the vast majority of them Iraqis who had flown to Belarus’s capital Minsk before heading north to cross into the EU state. Almost 4,000 migrants have been detained this year, compared with 81 for the whole of 2020. 

“What we are facing is an aggressive act from the Lukashenko regime designed to provoke,” Ylva Johansson, the EU commissioner for home affairs told reporters on Monday after talks with Lithuania’s prime minister Ingrida Simonyte. “The situation is getting worse and deteriorating . . . There is no free access to EU territory.”

The EU imposed sweeping sanctions against Lukashenko’s regime in June, after he fraudulently claimed victory in last year’s presidential election and then led a brutal campaign to violently suppress protesters and jail political opponents. Lukashenko has ruled Belarus since 1994.

The rising concern over the migrant crossings, which EU officials say is a campaign co-ordinated by Lukashenko’s administration, comes as one of the country’s athletes competing in the Tokyo Olympic Games sought refuge in Poland after team management attempted to fly her home against her will after she publicly criticised their actions.

Johansson said the EU would provide €10m-€12m of immediate emergency funding and would send a team of officials to the country to assess the requirements for longer-term financial assistance, including for extra border security and facilities to process those attempting to enter.

Simonyte said that Vilnuis would require “tens of millions of euros” by the end of the year if the number of people attempting to cross the border continued at the current pace.

Lithuania’s foreign minister Gabrielius Landsbergis told the Financial Times in June that Belarus was “weaponising” illegal immigration to put pressure on the Baltic country over its housing of several opposition leaders. Since then, the flow of illegal immigrants from Iraq, Syria, and several African countries has increased sharply.

Iraqi diplomats visited Vilnius at the end of last week after Lithuania’s foreign minister flew to Baghdad in mid-July. Johannson said on Monday that EU diplomats were engaged in “intensive contacts” with Iraqi officials, which she said were “more constructive than we had hoped”.

State carrier Iraqi Airways offers flights from four Iraqi airports to Minsk, according to its website. Former Estonian president Toomas Ilves suggested on Twitter that the EU could cut its aid to Iraq “immediately until they stop these flights”.

Speaking at the border with Belarus on Monday, Johansson added that the tents provided by Lithuania were unsuitable for families. Lithuania’s interior minister Agne Bilotaite said she hoped the number of illegal migrants would subside in the coming months but that Vilnius was planning to build some housing to accommodate them over the upcoming winter.



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Britain’s wrong-headed approach to refugees

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UK immigration updates

Thanks to the bravery of volunteers who run towards storms at sea to rescue ships’ crews, few British institutions command as much respect as the Royal National Lifeboat Institution. The charity, however, has recently had to negotiate a different kind of storm, over its efforts to help refugees who get into difficulties crossing the Channel from France. Nigel Farage, the former Brexit party leader, accused it of running a taxi service for illegal trafficking gangs. Last week, the RNLI said it had received hundreds of thousands of pounds of extra donations in response.

The RNLI has become embroiled in a now familiar story when the summer months allow more small boats to make the Channel crossing. Compared with the flows to other countries such as Spain, Italy and Greece, only a handful of migrants attempt the journey. That makes the UK’s inability to control the border in an effective and humane way — and shabby treatment of those who do make it across — no less of a scandal.

Britain’s strategy for stemming the flow has relied mostly on paying the French authorities to limit the number of boats crossing and return any that leave to France, while deterring would-be migrants through the unwelcoming environment that awaits them. Just as EU countries are dependent on their neighbours for keeping entrants down — whether Morocco for Spain or Belarus for Lithuania — the UK needs French co-operation to control the mutual border. Diplomatic spats, whether over Brexit or extra Covid quarantine restrictions on arrivals from France, have made that harder.

The UK approach manages to be simultaneously ineffective and cruel. Yvette Cooper, chair of the home affairs select committee, wrote last week to home secretary Priti Patel to complain of unacceptable conditions in the holding facility for migrants who make it to the Kent coast. A recent unannounced visit by MPs found most of those remaining in the overcrowded facility sitting on a thin mattress on the floor, with women and children in the same room as adult men.

Earlier this year, the High Court ruled that “squalid” conditions in the Napier Barracks, a temporary centre set up last year to house asylum seekers during the pandemic, were so bad as to be unlawful. While arrivals have declined since the peak seven years ago, cutbacks have led to a backlog in processing claims, leaving more in a legal limbo.

Since the start of the pandemic Britain has shut down other paths into the country, ending a resettlement scheme. This has ceded the ground to people traffickers. The “push factors” of the risk of violence and torture at home and “pull factors” of higher living standards mean many are still willing to resort to risky and illegal methods to try to reach the UK. Creating a harsh environment for those who make it has done little to dispel the widespread belief among migrants that Britain is a better destination than other European countries, and stem the flow.

That will not stop the government trying. Barristers have warned that a clause in draft border legislation could potentially make it a crime to help asylum seekers arrive in the UK, with a maximum penalty of life imprisonment; at present it is illegal to do so to earn a profit. The Home Office says the clause is aimed at criminal traffickers. But along with a suggestion to set up offshore processing centres, the provision has rightly earned criticism from human rights groups. If the government is unwilling to create safe and legal routes, its only option is to prevent people from coming in the first place. That, ultimately, will mean relying on France.



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